Everton v Arsenal Betting Preview
Back title-chasing Arsenal to be held by Everton
Ronald Koeman’s men remain in the top half of the table despite their recent poor run of form. The Toffees have now won only one of their last ten league games, and only five of their 15 in total. They have failed to win in the league since October, and their latest outing away at Watford summed up their struggles as they fell to a disappointing 3-2 defeat – the first time they’d lost to Watford in Premier League history.
However, Everton are unbeaten at home in the league, winning three and drawing four of their seven fixtures at Goodison Park so far. That form will give them some confidence heading into this one, but what won’t help their cause is the fact that they’ve only kept four clean sheets in 17 games in all competitions this season. They’ve also only managed to find the net nine times in their last 11, a poor return for a side boasting such an impressive attacking squad. Hull City, who currently sit 19th in the table, are the only other side to have failed to win more than one of their last ten league games, and with Liverpool, Leicester, Southampton and Manchester City making up four of Everton’s next five fixtures, the Christmas period could prove a tricky one for the Merseyside club. A draw is the most they can hope for in this one.
Arsenal, on the other hand, could not be in a better run of form. The Gunners are second in the table on 34 points, and after Chelsea’s 1-0 win over West Brom, they now have the second-best goal difference in the division (21). They’ve scored 36 goals, the second-highest in the league behind Liverpool (37), and have only lost once all season, after falling to a 4-3 defeat at home to the Reds on the opening day of the season. Alexis Sanchez and Mesut Ozil have been in the form of their lives in recent weeks, and their performances have led many pundits to believe that this could well be Arsenal’s year.
Arsene Wenger’s men are unbeaten in the league since the second week of the season, winning ten and drawing three, and their 3-1 win over Stoke City on Saturday was their third consecutive league victory. Arsenal will be hoping to improve on what has already been an incredible seven days, after they secured top spot in their Champions League group last week. Despite their excellent position in the league, Wenger’s side have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last ten games in all competitions, with their last win to nil coming on October 2nd at Turf Moor, when they saw off Burnley 2-0. If their goalscoring form continues then this shouldn’t prove a concern on Tuesday, but on their day Everton can be ruthless in front of goal. I’m backing a draw in this one.
Arsenal have won the last three meetings, scoring six and conceding one. They’ve also only lost one of the last 19 fixtures between the two, and that record won’t give Koeman’s side much confidence. However, prior to last season’s 2-0 defeat, Everton hadn’t lost at home to Arsenal in three meetings, and having only failed to score in two of the last ten encounters between the sides at Goodison Park, there will be some hope of the Toffees getting a result on Tuesday night.
To score at any time – Olivier Giroud 20/21
He’s yet to start a Premier League game this season, so this may be a bet for the risk-takers, although the odds are relatively short. The Frenchman has scored five goals in the last six meetings between the two sides, and that sort of form may well urge Wenger to include him in the starting line-up. With a busy festive period on its way, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him rotate his squad to cope with the hectic fixture list, and I’m backing Giroud to be given a chance on Tuesday night. He’s scored three league goals in seven substitute appearances, which is no bad return, and if he features I can see him netting again here. Odds of __ are available for the striker to score at any time.
Both teams to score – Yes 4/6
Neither side has demonstrated their defensive stability so far, and I think we could well see a goal at both ends on Tuesday. Everton have scored in seven of their last nine, and in all seven of their home league games this season, but they look vulnerable at the other end with only four clean sheets in 17 games. Arsenal have scored in ten of their last 11 in all competitions, but they haven’t kept a clean sheet since early October, so I’m backing odds of __ for both teams to score.
Match odds – Draw 13/5
Arsenal are in an excellent run of form and will be hard to stop at their best, but Everton’s excellent home record this season may well serve in their favour. Goodison Park is not an easy ground to come to, and I’m backing Koeman’s side to take a draw away from Tuesday’s game, priced at 13/5. It’s hard to see Everton winning the game, especially after their recent run of results, and the odds reflect that. A home win is priced at 10/3, or you can back odds of 4/5 for title-seeking Arsenal to add another three points to their tally.
Writer’s Prediction: Everton 2 – 2 Arsenal
*Odds correct at the time of publication, click here for all the latest odds on upcoming football matches.